MyDD House Predictions

MyDD House Predictions

The actual prediction file is in obnoxious pdf but Chris Bowers at MyDD looks race by race.

Iowa-centric:

Bruce Braley is in "tier 0" meaning expected pickup: "Huge Dem PVI for an open seat in a Dem year." (PVI=Partisan Voting Index)

Dave Loebsack is in "tier 2" (leans GOP): "Huge Dem PVI, incumbent only has $200,000" but of course Leach can write a personal check or, if it looks really close like it did in `02 the RNC will pump money in. Still the fact remains this is the most Democratic district held by the GOP and it's on the radar.

Leonard Boswell is in "tier 3" meaning party change is not expected; Bowers cites the DCCC pullout. Krusty argues that the DCCC overbought and is just scaling back an earlier buy. I'll stick to my argument that DCCC thinks Leonard can take care of himself and is diverting resources to play offense.