31 Ocak 2011 Pazartesi

Local GOP Watch

Local GOP Watch

Groundhog Day is coming up, and like the elusive critter the Johnson County Republicans are emerging from what conservative blogger Mike Thayer of the Coralville Courier last week called "hibernation." And like Bill Murray they seem to be living the same day over again.

The JC GOP is electing officers for the next two year term on Monday, Feb. 7, and a largely incumbent slate is running:
Candidates nominated include Bob Anderson, Chairman; Dave Yansky, Co-Chairman; Cyndi Michel, Secretary; and Debra Stannard, Treasurer.
These are all incumbents in their current positions except for longtime activist Michel.

This won't make Thayer, a frequent critic of the local GOP organization, happy. He's frequently attacked the "progressive" (sic) party leadership for, among other things, failing to recruit candidates locally. And the party's big February event won't please him either: a fundraiser for twice-defeated congressional candidate Mariannete Miller-Meeks. The newly named state health department head needs to retire over a half million dollars in campaign debt to herself, and Steve King is the big name they're bringing in.

Thayer has a unique take on events in the Middle East:
All these riots and protests have a common thread.... An anti-government connection. In these cases it's not about a lack of food, or disease, or being war torn.... It boils down to government mismanagement.

So is America next?

Half of the people in this country are upset with government for its callous, unwise and unconstitutional spending, putting the U.S. on a path to bankruptcy and burdening our children and grandchildren with unprecedented debt. The other half of the people in this country are upset with government for not giving ENOUGH handouts, be they Nanny State gimmes like food stamps, two years of unemployment checks and housing subsidies or be they luxury items like bike trails, theatres and *free* internet. These people WANT new 'entitlements' and government largesse, it's about 'stuff'.

Something is going to give folks, and that's why I've been encouraging you to buy food, guns, ammo and gold.
That was Friday. Saturday Thayer got into the details of warehousing:
Are you paying attention to the expiration dates of your food stock? It's important to rotate your canned goods, jar goods, dried goods, medicines, etc. Did you know that something as everyday as aspirin has an expiration date? How many bandages and wraps do you have?

Most canned goods stocked on store shelves these days have an expiration date of the years 2012, 2013, depending on the food type. Things like vegetables and fruits are likely to be in the 2012, 2013 range. Meat based items such as canned soups, chili, ravioli, chicken breast, that kind of thing - probably 2012. Canned fish like tuna, salmon, sardines, those typically have a stamp for 2013, 2014 or even 2015.

Jar goods don't go quite so far out...
Handy and thrifty advice regardless of your politics, if you're stocking up at Aldi's. But I don't think we'll be retreating to our bunkers quite yet.

My team is also electing officers soon, on March 3. Current JC Dems chair Dennis Roseman is not seeking another term.

Also noted over the weekend: While all six local Democratic legislators attended the League of Women Voters forum, the four Republicans were no-shows. Reps. Jarad Klein and Jeff Kaufmann showed up for a members-only Chamber of Commerce forum, held immediately before and one block away from the LWV event. Senators Sandy Greiner and Jim Hahn didn't attend either. (Klein's newsletter notes he attended a Jefferson County Farm Bureau forum Saturday.)

28 Ocak 2011 Cuma

Did Anyone Ask?

Did Anyone Ask?

"I don't want to go out and campaign for candidates" - George W. Bush.

But somebody, who's back on the ballot, DID ask Bush's successor:


"I needed somebody at my side who I could count on to get the job done. There was no candidate for the job of chief of staff who would meet the bill as well as Rahm Emanuel, which is why I told him that he had no choice in the matter. He was not allowed to say 'no.' This was a great sacrifice for Rahm, Amy and the family, to move out here. He has been a great friend of mine, he has been a selfless public servant, he has been an outstanding chief of staff."

As for Obama's potential competition, they're not exactly lining up fast behind the Mitt: "In each of the traditional early states, top Romney supporters from the last campaign tell POLITICO that they’re hesitant to get behind the nearest thing the GOP has to a frontrunner." Two Iowans quoted: Chris Rants sounds noncommittal while Branstad consigliere Doug Gross is flat out dismissive: “I haven’t talked to (Romney) in a long time.”

And indeed, Team Mitt is leaking word that Romney may skip Iowa -- forgetting the lesson from four years ago when Hillary tried leaking the exact same memo.

A frontrunner who tries Screw Iowa boxes herself in so she HAS to run on unfriendly turf. And Screw Iowa has never really worked for anyone. McCain gets an asterisk here. In 2000 he ran a true Screw Iowa campaign, but in 2007 he bailed out of financial necessity. If you're a frontrunner, you have to go all-out in Iowa, but McCain wasn't a frontrunner anymore. He didn't really win the nomination as much as everyone else lost.

Mitt was all-in for Iowa last time and got burned by finishing second, and the dynamic of internal GOP politics has if anything gotten worse for him. (I mean, if Doug Gross isn't in his corner at this point, who the heck is?) If he runs here he has to win here. The only way he does that is: 1) Ron Paul (or Rand, or Gary Johnson, but probably Ron) increases his indigestible share from 10% to 15, thus lowering the victory bar a bit; and 2) the 2008 Huckabee-Thompson vote splinters just right between Huckabee, Palin, Bachmann, Frosty The Snowman, and Rick "Most Likely To Drop Out The Day After The Straw Poll" Santorum. Then Romney's 30% or so is a weak first... but first is first.

Face it: Romney's only the GOP "establishment" choice because W screwed up so bad that they're too chicken to get behind Jeb till at least 2016. Just think how things would have been different if Jeb Bush hadn't been the only Republican in the whole country to lose in 1994...

Two more thoughts that don't fit elsewhere: This diary at Swing State Project has a bunch of four district Iowa maps and commentary. And Rachel "Now The Big Star At MSNBC" Maddow talks about some of our past socialist presidents:
"Should any political party attempt to abolish Social Security, unemployment insurance, and eliminate labor laws and farm programs, you would not hear of that party again in our political history. There is a tiny splinter group, of course, that believes you can do these things, but their number is negligible and they are stupid."
Hint: Five stars.

27 Ocak 2011 Perşembe

Practical Issues With Photo ID

Practical Issues With Photo ID

I said it during the secretary of state race, I said it way back when Steve King got the Spanish voter registration forms banned. Democrats talk about helping people vote, Republicans talk about making it harder to vote. Unless it's about taking people's rights away, in which case they say "let the people vote."

The Iowa House gave us hard proof this afternoon, passing a photo ID to vote bill on a straight party line vote: 60 Republicans for, 40 Democrats against. And the Iowa Senate gave us proof this morning, where Democrats stuck together on a procedural motion to protect marriage equality: 26 Democrats for, 24 Republicans against.

Iowa City's own Mary Mascher said it best in the House photo ID debate: "The name of this bill should be changed. It should be called the ‘Voter Suppression Act,’ Voting is a right … it is not a privilege. We should protect that right and make sure that it is equitable for all Iowans.”

The photo ID bill goes next to the Senate where majority leader Mike Gronstal will again need to keep his one seat majority solid to kill the bill.

"I have worked in professional politics for the last 13 years and have not seen one case of voter fraud in the state of Iowa," wrote Iowa Democratic Party executive director Norm Sterzenbach. "This is a costly solution to a problem that doesn't exist. I would rather they spend the money on pre-k, or K-12 education or, I don't know, putting people back to work."

Democrats were also quick to note the cost of solving the nonexistent problem. "Similar legislation has cost other states between five and six million dollars to implement," said state party chair Sue Dvorsky in a release. "At a time when Republicans are making deep cuts to education and other successful programs, spending millions to hamper voting in Iowa shouldn’t be a priority.”

But one angle Iowa Democrats have missed -- until now -- comes from the Texas Senate, which debated the same issue Tuesday night. (Notice how this issue is a top-level priority for every Republican legislature in the country...)
Even if you have the necessary photo I.D., you still might not be accepted to vote. The reason is simple: too many people simply do not look like the photo on their drivers license.

Senator Zaffirini was the one who brought it up. She shared a photo from a drivers license, and challenged Senators to name the person whose photo it was. None of the Senators had a guess.

She then asked the person whose photo it was to stand up. Her Chief of Staff, Ray Martinez, stood up. At the time, Ray had been sitting next to Zaffirini, in plain sight of all the Senators who couldn't guess that it was his photo.
If they start weighing us in at polling places, there won't be anyone left to vote.

I shouldn't laugh, but it beats crying. Between the marriage vote, the photo ID vote, and Terry Branstad's drown government in a bathtub budget, what I called "silly season" yesterday is rapidly turning mean. The first League of Women Voter's legislative forum this weekend (Saturday, 9:30 - 11:30, Iowa City hall) should be epic, as Johnson County's mostly Dem delegation shares tales from the front.

Silly season in Des Moines

Don't Bother, They're Here

The late Molly Ivins, a far greater writer than I can even dream of being, was at her finest when describing the crazy antics of her home state politics: “The Texas Legislature will soon be in session, God forbid, leaving many a village without its idiot.”

We need Molly back from the dead and we need her in Des Moines. The capitol dome seems to have been replaced with a circus big top. Ivins had just the right mix of outrage, exasperation, dung on the boots and sense of the absurd to do justice to the likes of Dwayne Alons.

Alons has taken a break from solving global warming with air conditioning, but he can't decide if he's more obsessed with guns or gays. He's the leading light, or dimmest bulb, behind what the cops are calling House File 007. As in Licence To Kill. The bill stands up for our Constitutional right to go packin' at day care centers, shuffleboard matches and Pizza Ranches. The hearings yielded this priceless exchange:
Rep. Bob Kressig, D-Cedar Falls, asked what would happen if a person kills someone thought to be a threat when “actually it’s the next door neighbor coming over to borrow a cup of sugar.”

“The neighbor should’ve knocked first,” Rep. Matt Windschitl, R-Missouri Valley, answered with a grin.
As Sondheim said, don't bother, they're here. (In fairness, a number of Democrats have to share some blame for this one...)

Meanwhile, legislative n00bs Kim Pearson and Glen Massie are arguing with their fellow Republicans about how many fetuses can dance on the head of a pin:
The legislators, The FAMiLY Leader, and (non-Polk County Republican chair Steve) Deace, object to the bill because they believe all life should be protected, not just unborn children after twenty weeks of fertilization. On his radio show on Tuesday night, Deace called legislators who believe that life begins at conception, but who are supporting House File 5, “evil,” because he says the goal is to protect all unborn life, not just babies over 20 weeks.
The split on the right may yet abort chances for a bill coming out this session and turn western Iowa into a, quoting here, "a midwest mecca for late-term abortions." And we all know who prays to Mecca.

In the third ring of this circus we have Clel Baudler's clown act. Baudler, last seen having his clerk push the voting button in the 2010 session, is now taking a page out of the James Traficant textbook (Democrats have clowns too) and conducting his own sting operation--in California:
Baudler, 71, made public his plan to lie about a medical condition to obtain a medical marijuana prescription almost a year ago when the Iowa Board of Pharmacy voted unanimously to recommend that legislators reclassify marijuana in a way that could allow people to use it for pain, nausea and other symptoms from diseases such as cancer, AIDS or multiple sclerosis.

He told how he planned to go to California.

“Then I’ll lie about having hemorrhoids so I can get medical marijuana for hemorrhoids and get smoke blown up my rear end,” he said.
Ole Clel has inadvertently stumbled onto the right metaphor. A lot of smoke went up a lot of rear ends this last campaign season.

Terry Branstad got elected on a platform of 1) I'm Not Chet 2) I'm Not Vander Plaats either and 3) did I mention I'm not Chet. Yeah, we all knew the unionized public employees were screwed; that goes with the territory with Terry.

But Branstad 5.0 was supposed to be the Grownups Back In Charge administration, not Silly Season On The Right. Yet so far the legislative session is playing out like BVP's wildest fantasies, and I'm really sorry to have put that image in your head.

True, the governor's influence over the legislative branch, even of his own party, has its limits. Just ask Chet Culver. But the governor can do more to set the tone. Even his main economic focus, the battle with the state employee unions, seems less about budgets and more about political payback, and under the dome the ugliest and meanest obsessions of the far right and far far right are on center stage.

(And people think I'm extreme for saying a voting age adult should be able to go into a bar and have a beer.)

"It's a low-tax, low-service state--so shoot us," Ivins said of her beloved Texas. "The only depressing part is that, unlike Mississippi, we can afford to do better. We just don't. " And this session, Iowa seems to have that attitude as well.

26 Ocak 2011 Çarşamba

The First Bear In Packerland

The First Bear In Packerland

Fresh off his State of the Union, the President goes into the heart of enemy territory. Not a red state or a blue state, but a Green state. Better yet, right into the heart of Packerland. The locals tell it best:
The president arrived ahead of schedule at about 10:15 a.m. at Austin Straubel International Airport in Ashwaubenon.

Obama was greeted at the airport by Republican Gov. Scott Walker and Green Bay Mayor Jim Schmitt. The local officials each presented Packers jerseys to the president, who the White House called the "First Bears Fan" in its report.

Walker gave the president a jersey that had an Obama 1 on the back and the mayor presented Obama with a Woodson jersey to the grinning president.

The Obama 1 jersey was autographed by Packers cornerback Charles Woodson. Also on the jersey, Woodson wrote "See you at the White House ... Go Packers!"

Obama had indicated before the game that he would travel to Texas for the Super Bowl next month to watch the game if the Bears beat the Packers last Sunday. The Packers, however, won 21-14.

Following the game, Woodson was captured on Packer's video delivering a pep talk to his teammates. "The president don't want to come watch us win the Super Bowl?" he said. "Guess what? We'll go see him."

"They're rubbing it in," he yelled to the pool reporters as he held out the Obama shirt...

The president's press secretary, Robert Gibbs, told the pool reporter, "We're going to need another plane to take back all the Packer paraphernalia we're going to get today."
There's some serious political reasons for the stop; WI-08 is one of those districts that flipped blue to red last fall. (But don't you DARE call Wisconsin a purple state, at least not until after the annual Favre retirement press conference.)

Still, the references were unavoidable:
Obama, a Bears fan, told the audience that he has not "come to Packer Country because I lost a bet. Sunday was a tough day to be a Bears fan.

"But even if it didn’t go the way I wanted, I’m glad we got to see one of the greatest rivalries in sports go another round. And so, in the spirit of sportsmanship, let me just say this: congratulations, and good luck in the Super Bowl."

"Last night, I gave a speech some of you may have seen. And what I said was, in this new and challenging time, when America is facing tougher competition from countries around the world than ever before, we’re going to need to up our game. We’re going to need to go all in. We’re going to need to get serious about winning the future.

"In the words of the man the Super Bowl trophy is named after: 'There is no room for second place. There is only one place in my game, and that’s first place.'
But notice he's not wearing the jersey. As Politico noted once:
As White House senior adviser David Axelrod puts it, the president dislikes it when “folks try to get him to wear baseball gear for teams other than the White Sox.”
One must assume that goes double true for football arch rivals.

Wednesday Clips

Wednesday Clips

Didn't catch much of Bachman's response to the response (bla bla taxes bla bla Tea) but she deginitely gets the Bobby Jindal no-prize for looking weird. Some TV techie gets fired this morning for having her look at the wrong camera.

The Christie Vilsack for Congress boomlet bubbles up to the Politico level, but Leonard Boswell (last seen on the aisle whispering in Obama's ear) still won't take the hint.

Bob Dvorsky puts the smackdown on Branstad;s budget.

House hearing next Monday on marriage (in)equality They accept emailed testimony, I sent this.

25 Ocak 2011 Salı

State of the Union Liveblog

State of the Union Liveblog

Greeting from Flav's Fried Chicken in CLinton -I mean The Mill in Iowa City - where a bunch of us Obamabots are gathered to watch the state of the union.

There will be an empty chair in the Arizona delegation, and as we're watching MSNBC an empty chair there as well. Too much bipartisanship to keep track of, but I did notice Elliot Engel of NY got his aisle seat.

I myself did not bring a bipartisan seating date, but I have a spare seat if any of my Republican readers show up. We got 80 or so bodies here as the Cabinet walks in (on screen, not into the Mill) I see Kerry and McCain together in the unity of losership, though my understanding was that AZ is sitting together.

Thanks to the White House press office: An advance transcript makes live blogging waaay easier.

Boswell on the aisle as the Prez strolls in. Next table over is playing SPot The Congressman, which is one of my favorite games too. I'll miss the dichotomy of the standing and sitting, but not as much as I'll miss seeing Pelosi on the rostrum. Adjust the color on your sets for bright orange...

Applause at the Mill as Prez starts speech.

The empty Giffords chair is next to Raul Grijalva (as is the district) Prez picks up where he left off in AZ speech:

We are part of the American family. We believe that in a country where every race and faith and point of view can be found, we are still bound together as one people; that we share common hopes and a common creed; that the dreams of a little girl in Tucson are not so different than those of our own children, and that they all deserve the chance to be fulfilled.

"What comes of this moment will be determined not by whether we can sit together tonight, but whether we can work together tomorrow."

"We will move forward together, or not at all" (not at all...)

Is Cantor twittering yet?

I got your American Exceptionalism right here:
America still has the largest, most prosperous economy in the world. No workers are more productive than ours. No country has more successful companies, or grants more patents to inventors and entrepreneurs. We are home to the world’s best colleges and universities, where more students come to study than any other place on Earth.


What’s more, we are the first nation to be founded for the sake of an idea – the idea that each of us deserves the chance to shape our own destiny. That is why centuries of pioneers and immigrants have risked everything to come here. It’s why our students don’t just memorize equations, but answer questions like “What do you think of that idea? What would you change about the world? What do you want to be when you grow up?”
But Boehner doesn't well up. Sorry for the snark, I just don't have this Bipartisanship (TM) thing yet.

"Facebook" gets incongruous mono-applause from one live audience member, to the amusement of the Mill crowd.

Meat:
This is our generation’s Sputnik moment. Two years ago, I said that we needed to reach a level of research and development we haven’t seen since the height of the Space Race. In a few weeks, I will be sending a budget to Congress that helps us meet that goal. We’ll invest in biomedical research, information technology, and especially clean energy technology – an investment that will strengthen our security, protect our planet, and create countless new jobs for our people.
"Clean energy technology" gets a big hand at the Mill. "With more research and incentives, we can break our dependence on oil with biofuels, and become the first country to have 1 million electric vehicles on the road by 2015."

"And to help pay for it, I’m asking Congress to eliminate the billions in taxpayer dollars we currently give to oil companies" Iowa City loved that one. Boehner not so much. Derisive laughter at "clean coal" but that was for Joe Manchin, not the Mill.

"We need to teach our kids that it’s not just the winner of the Super Bowl who deserves to be celebrated, but the winner of the science fair" Bear fans are sore losers.

President briefly channels Cuba Gooding: “If you show us the most innovative plans to improve teacher quality and student achievement, we’ll show you the money.” He knows from caucus time that "and no child left behind" is an automatic applause line.

Neighbors note that the Lenny Skutnik examples are all from swing states.

Harkin spotted; sitting with Pat Leahy.

"If you want to make a difference in the life of our nation; if you want to make a difference in the life of a child – become a teacher. Your country needs you" hgets a spotty congressional standing o. In general Bipartisanship (TM) has them sitting more.

"Last month, I saw the promise of these schools at Forsyth Tech in North Carolina" SWING STATE! "Many of the students there used to work in the surrounding factories that have since left town. One mother of two, a woman named Kathy Proctor, had worked in the furniture industry since she was 18 years old." Poor Kathy is spotted in the gallery pointing at herself and mouthing "that's me."

Now, I strongly believe that we should take on, once and for all, the issue of illegal immigration. I am prepared to work with Republicans and Democrats to protect our borders, enforce our laws and address the millions of undocumented workers who are now living in the shadows. I know that debate will be difficult and take time. But tonight, let’s agree to make that effort. And let’s stop expelling talented, responsible young people who can staff our research labs, start new businesses, and further enrich this nation.
Camera on Kerry and McCain as he said this. (shouldabeenme shouldabeenme shouldabeenme...)

"To attract new businesses to our shores, we need the fastest, most reliable ways to move people, goods, and information – from high-speed rail to high-speed internet." (Is Branstad watching?)

"For some trips, it will be faster than flying – without the pat-down." Yes the joke was in the script. As prez says "Iowa or AlaBAMA" CAMERA CATCHES GRASSLEY YAWNING

Didn't mean the all caps but I left it. ZZZZZ

Token references to trade... Health care coming up soon...

we passed reform that finally prevents the health insurance industry from exploiting patients.

Now, I’ve heard rumors that a few of you have some concerns about the new health care law. So let me be the first to say that anything can be improved. If you have ideas about how to improve this law by making care better or more affordable, I am eager to work with you. We can start right now by correcting a flaw in the legislation that has placed an unnecessary bookkeeping burden on small businesses.

Everyone likes...


What I’m not willing to do is go back to the days when insurance companies could deny someone coverage because of a pre-existing condition.
Not Everyone likes...
I’m not willing to tell James Howard, a brain cancer patient from Texas, that his treatment might not be covered. I’m not willing to tell Jim Houser, a small business owner from Oregon, that he has to go back to paying $5,000 more to cover his employees. As we speak, this law is making prescription drugs cheaper for seniors and giving uninsured students a chance to stay on their parents’ coverage. So instead of re-fighting the battles of the last two years, let’s fix what needs fixing and move forward.

"But now that the worst of the recession is over, we have to confront the fact that our government spends more than it takes in." ("raise taxes" says Iowa City, booing as Bachmann is on camera) As Obama discusses domestic cuts, someone says "get out of the war."

"Cutting the deficit by gutting our investments in innovation and education is like lightening an overloaded airplane by removing its engine. It may feel like you’re flying high at first, but it won’t take long before you’ll feel the impact." Boehner laughs Biden doesn't.
And if we truly care about our deficit, we simply cannot afford a permanent extension of the tax cuts for the wealthiest 2% of Americans. Before we take money away from our schools, or scholarships away from our students, we should ask millionaires to give up their tax break. It’s not a matter of punishing their success. It’s about promoting America’s success.
Iowa City roars with approval. Bernie Sanders on camera.

Here's your bipartisanship: get rid of waste and inefficiency! And apple pie is good! (but Joe likes the smoked salmon line)

"if a bill comes to my desk with earmarks inside, I will veto it." McCain likes, but your earmarks are my district's jobs...

"America’s commitment has been kept; the Iraq War is coming to an end." Mild applause in Iowa City, more out of doubt.

"This year, we will work with nearly 50 countries to begin a transition to an Afghan lead. And this July, we will begin to bring our troops home." Again, cautious support in IC.

"we will not relent, we will not waver, and we will defeat you." (That's what he said about the Bears too...)

Obama to Rio for Carnaval? Trying to figure out if South Sudan and Tunisa are swing states.

Troops as always get biggest applause from Congress. Iowa City holds applause for Hiawatha's Sal Giunta and for "yes some of them are gay."

More American exceptionalism: "And yet, as contentious and frustrating and messy as our democracy can sometimes be, I know there isn’t a person here who would trade places with any other nation on Earth."
That dream is why I can stand here before you tonight. That dream is why a working class kid from Scranton can stand behind me. That dream is why someone who began by sweeping the floors of his father’s Cincinnati bar can preside as Speaker of the House in the greatest nation on Earth.
Waaaaaaaah.... and he really does..

Verbal slip as Obama talks of rescue workers working "three or four hour days." Now THAT's a good contract!

As we wind down, the embrace of American Exceptionalism is what I'm taking away. Not that he hasn't before, but that's been one of the right's more ridiculous criticisms. He throws in "the state of our union is strong" at the very end, not at the beginning where it usually goes.

This crowd is extremely unlikely to stick around for Ryan and Bachmann.

Chris Matthews appears to be feeling the old Obama Tingle. MSN crew almost looks like it DID set up an empty chair, with a big gap between O'Donnell and Maddow. Ed Schultz seems to also be taking away the Greatness of America thing. I grew up on Reagan doing that, but it worked for him.